Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

199 – 232.77

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

104 – 244

Prediction correct · off by 53.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 301.6 ±11.1

2585Impact

Season APEX 71.2Event APEX 50.29Rank 25Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5829Awtybots

Season APEX 179.7Event APEX 103.84Rank 8Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5431Titan Robotics

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 44.87Rank 29Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 383.4 ±9.8

7312T3

Season APEX 122.1Event APEX 138.66Rank 16Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1477Texas Torque

Season APEX 214.2Event APEX 72.83Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8370Glow With The Flow

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 21.28Rank 18Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2585, 5829, 5431

/ 100 compat

Projected

199 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2585, 5829, 5431

Auto

37.3 18%

Teleop

130.1 63%

Endgame

37.6 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 75%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7312, 1477, 8370

/ 100 compat

Projected

232.8 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7312, 1477, 8370

Auto

21.3 10%

Teleop

135.2 62%

Endgame

62.4 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 75%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.67 · Blue 2.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score199pts

Blue projected score232.8pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 75%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 15%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -33.8
Score range: 151–281
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 348 vs event baseline 264.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

301.6Season APEX383.4

37.3Auto21.3

130.1Teleop135.2

37.6Endgame62.4

82Consistency19

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	57
teleop	28	144
endgame	32	43
foul	0	0
total	104	244

Result

Final score

104 – 244

Prediction correct · off by 53.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree