Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

490.88 – 229.22

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

412 – 264

Prediction correct · off by 56.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 628.7 ±9.1

118Robonauts

Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 139.3Rank 6Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4587Jersey Voltage

Season APEX 48Event APEX 26.39Rank 39Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9128ITKAN Robotics

Season APEX 344.8Event APEX 325.19Rank 1Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 341.4 ±10.4

4192Jaguar Robotics

Season APEX 86.7Event APEX 137.17Rank 11Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7492Turbo Torque

Season APEX 124.9Event APEX 34.94Rank 38Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5427Steel Talons

Season APEX 129.8Event APEX 57.11Rank 13Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 118, 4587, 9128

/ 100 compat

Projected

490.9 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 118, 4587, 9128

Auto

67.3 14%

Teleop

302.5 62%

Endgame

118.0 24%

Strengths

· 9128 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4192, 7492, 5427

/ 100 compat

Projected

229.2 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4192, 7492, 5427

Auto

46.2 20%

Teleop

104.7 45%

Endgame

81.9 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.65 · Blue 0.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score490.9pts

Blue projected score229.2pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 261.7
Score range: 182–538
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 676 vs event baseline 263.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

628.7Season APEX341.4

67.3Auto46.2

302.5Teleop104.7

118Endgame81.9

77Consistency92

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	82	49
teleop	195	115
endgame	100	70
foul	35	30
total	412	264

Result

Final score

412 – 264

Prediction correct · off by 56.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree