Qualification · Qualification 5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

680.11 – 302.13

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

730 – 273

Prediction correct · off by 39.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 807.8 ±9.3

9128ITKAN Robotics

Season APEX 344.8Event APEX 285.54Rank 1Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8044Denham Venom

Season APEX 340.9Event APEX 245.78Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7312T3

Season APEX 122.1Event APEX 148.79Rank 16Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 557.8 ±8.4

118Robonauts

Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 133.95Rank 6Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9140The Robobots

Season APEX 237.1Event APEX 142.58Rank 24Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6357The Spring Konstant

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 25.6Rank 28Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9128, 8044, 7312

/ 100 compat

Projected

680.1 pts

~2.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9128, 8044, 7312

Auto

131.2 20%

Teleop

394.2 60%

Endgame

136.0 21%

Strengths

· 9128 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 27%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 118, 9140, 6357

/ 100 compat

Projected

302.1 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 118, 9140, 6357

Auto

52.8 18%

Teleop

164.0 54%

Endgame

84.2 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 27%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.87 · Blue 0.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score680.1pts

Blue projected score302.1pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 74%

Supercharged bonusred 27%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 378
Score range: 249–733
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1003 vs event baseline 292.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

807.8Season APEX557.8

131.2Auto52.8

394.2Teleop164

136Endgame84.2

29Consistency140

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	101	23
teleop	464	155
endgame	150	95
foul	15	0
total	730	273

Result

Final score

730 – 273

Prediction correct · off by 39.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree