Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

173.11 – 364.29

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

211 – 439

Prediction correct · off by 56.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 363.7 ±12.8

3616Team Phenomena

Season APEX 128.4Event APEX 90.28Rank 26Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

456Siege Robotics

Season APEX 110.7Event APEX 44.28Rank 27Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

2587DiscoBots

Season APEX 124.6Event APEX 38.55Rank 20Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 549.3 ±9.3

5414Pearadox

Season APEX 180Event APEX 82.01Rank 21Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7691TSA All Stars

Season APEX 69.6Event APEX 36.57Rank 36Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10340ITKAN Girls

A+

Season APEX 299.7Event APEX 245.71Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3616, 456, 2587

/ 100 compat

Projected

173.1 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3616, 456, 2587

Auto

27.4 16%

Teleop

94.3 56%

Endgame

46.1 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5414, 7691, 10340

/ 100 compat

Projected

364.3 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5414, 7691, 10340

Auto

79.2 22%

Teleop

206.9 58%

Endgame

69.1 19%

Strengths

· 10340 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.9 · Blue 2.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score173.1pts

Blue projected score364.3pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -191.2
Score range: 126–411
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 650 vs event baseline 261.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

363.7Season APEX549.3

27.4Auto79.2

94.3Teleop206.9

46.1Endgame69.1

121Consistency123

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	88
teleop	90	280
endgame	82	71
foul	0	0
total	211	439

Result

Final score

211 – 439

Prediction correct · off by 56.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree