Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

367.72 – 277.93

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

434 – 168

Prediction correct · off by 88.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 576.2 ±7.1

2881Lady Cans

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 128.65Rank 3Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8044Denham Venom

Season APEX 340.9Event APEX 187.65Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 51.42Rank 37Record 2-7-0Status -Confidence -

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 544.7 ±9.8

8576Golden Warriors Robotics

Season APEX 148.6Event APEX 108.21Rank 35Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

324Chips

Season APEX 133.4Event APEX 49.19Rank 23Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1296Full Metal Jackets

Season APEX 262.7Event APEX 120.53Rank 14Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2881, 8044, NaN

/ 100 compat

Projected

367.7 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2881, 8044, NaN

Auto

85.8 23%

Teleop

228.0 61%

Endgame

60.7 16%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8576, 324, 1296

/ 100 compat

Projected

277.9 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8576, 324, 1296

Auto

39.0 15%

Teleop

151.2 56%

Endgame

78.3 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.32 · Blue 1.23

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score367.7pts

Blue projected score277.9pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 18%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 89.8
Score range: 231–415
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 602 vs event baseline 260.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

576.2Season APEX544.7

85.8Auto39

228Teleop151.2

60.7Endgame78.3

65Consistency74

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	137	48
teleop	269	104
endgame	28	1
foul	0	15
total	434	168

Result

Final score

434 – 168

Prediction correct · off by 88.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree