Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

226.21 – 288.6

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

315 – 170

Prediction missed · off by 103.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 498.8 ±9.9

2582PantherBots

Season APEX 211Event APEX 90.67Rank 7Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5431Titan Robotics

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 32.43Rank 29Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9140The Robobots

Season APEX 237.1Event APEX 103.11Rank 24Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 575 ±8.4

1477Texas Torque

Season APEX 214.2Event APEX 85.83Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7492Turbo Torque

Season APEX 124.9Event APEX 44.39Rank 38Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

118Robonauts

Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 158.38Rank 6Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2582, 5431, 9140

/ 100 compat

Projected

226.2 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2582, 5431, 9140

Auto

34.4 16%

Teleop

123.1 56%

Endgame

64.3 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1477, 7492, 118

/ 100 compat

Projected

288.6 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1477, 7492, 118

Auto

39.6 14%

Teleop

179.9 64%

Endgame

60.6 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.44 · Blue 2.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score226.2pts

Blue projected score288.6pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 71%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -62.4
Score range: 180–335
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 485 vs event baseline 257.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

498.8Season APEX575

34.4Auto39.6

123.1Teleop179.9

64.3Endgame60.6

111Consistency43

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	69	20
teleop	188	77
endgame	43	73
foul	15	0
total	315	170

Result

Final score

315 – 170

Prediction missed · off by 103.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree