Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

143.97 – 376.02

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

178 – 262

Prediction correct · off by 74 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 266.8 ±10.4

6357The Spring Konstant

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 25.67Rank 28Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6377Howdy Bots

Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 92.91Rank 17Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7691TSA All Stars

Season APEX 69.6Event APEX 25.39Rank 36Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 482.9 ±10.5

4639The RoboSpartans

Season APEX 112Event APEX 54.31Rank 34Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2585Impact

Season APEX 71.2Event APEX 68.71Rank 25Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10340ITKAN Girls

A+

Season APEX 299.7Event APEX 253Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6357, 6377, 7691

/ 100 compat

Projected

144 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6357, 6377, 7691

Auto

36.6 27%

Teleop

60.2 44%

Endgame

39.6 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4639, 2585, 10340

/ 100 compat

Projected

376 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4639, 2585, 10340

Auto

78.0 21%

Teleop

205.8 56%

Endgame

85.3 23%

Strengths

· 10340 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.89 · Blue 2.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score144pts

Blue projected score376pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 68%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -232
Score range: 97–423
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 440 vs event baseline 258.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

266.8Season APEX482.9

36.6Auto78

60.2Teleop205.8

39.6Endgame85.3

55Consistency86

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	70
teleop	76	157
endgame	48	35
foul	15	0
total	178	262

Result

Final score

178 – 262

Prediction correct · off by 74 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree