Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

445.76 – 198.54

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

518 – 308

Prediction correct · off by 90.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 627 ±9.9

2585Impact

Season APEX 71.2Event APEX 62.96Rank 25Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9128ITKAN Robotics

Season APEX 344.8Event APEX 304.09Rank 1Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2582PantherBots

Season APEX 211Event APEX 78.71Rank 7Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 365.5 ±9.4

9140The Robobots

Season APEX 237.1Event APEX 88.18Rank 24Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 34.66Rank 37Record 2-7-0Status -Confidence -

3616Team Phenomena

Season APEX 128.4Event APEX 75.7Rank 26Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2585, 9128, 2582

/ 100 compat

Projected

445.8 pts

~2.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2585, 9128, 2582

Auto

85.3 20%

Teleop

254.2 59%

Endgame

88.8 21%

Strengths

· 9128 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9140, NaN, 3616

/ 100 compat

Projected

198.5 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9140, NaN, 3616

Auto

28.3 14%

Teleop

122.6 60%

Endgame

52.3 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.77 · Blue 0.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score445.8pts

Blue projected score198.5pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 71%

Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 247.2
Score range: 152–493
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 826 vs event baseline 259.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

627Season APEX365.5

85.3Auto28.3

254.2Teleop122.6

88.8Endgame52.3

157Consistency146

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	79	55
teleop	311	164
endgame	128	89
foul	0	0
total	518	308

Result

Final score

518 – 308

Prediction correct · off by 90.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree