Qualification · Qualification 38

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

306.73 – 135.31

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

187 – 133

Prediction correct · off by 61 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 348.6 ±9.8

6377Howdy Bots

Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 112.45Rank 17Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7312T3

Season APEX 122.1Event APEX 170.85Rank 16Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

127Bluetonium

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 23.43Rank 19Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 306.5 ±10.4

4639The RoboSpartans

Season APEX 112Event APEX 55.64Rank 34Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7492Turbo Torque

Season APEX 124.9Event APEX 49.4Rank 38Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7691TSA All Stars

Season APEX 69.6Event APEX 30.27Rank 36Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6377, 7312, 127

/ 100 compat

Projected

306.7 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6377, 7312, 127

Auto

49.1 17%

Teleop

154.5 54%

Endgame

84.5 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4639, 7492, 7691

/ 100 compat

Projected

135.3 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4639, 7492, 7691

Auto

24.9 20%

Teleop

75.4 59%

Endgame

26.8 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.58 · Blue 0.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score306.7pts

Blue projected score135.3pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 171.4
Score range: 88–354
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 320 vs event baseline 261.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

348.6Season APEX306.5

49.1Auto24.9

154.5Teleop75.4

84.5Endgame26.8

15Consistency91

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	20
teleop	78	65
endgame	62	48
foul	0	0
total	187	133

Result

Final score

187 – 133

Prediction correct · off by 61 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree