Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

136.71 – 218.57

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

147 – 226

Prediction correct · off by 8.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 334.3 ±11.7

4587Jersey Voltage

Season APEX 48Event APEX 20.12Rank 39Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5070Gearnotics

Season APEX 41.2Event APEX -5.57Rank 33Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3847Spectrum -△◅

Season APEX 245.1Event APEX 122.16Rank 5Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 396.7 ±11.7

456Siege Robotics

Season APEX 110.7Event APEX 37.22Rank 27Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

2881Lady Cans

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 137.71Rank 3Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5431Titan Robotics

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 43.64Rank 29Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4587, 5070, 3847

/ 100 compat

Projected

136.7 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4587, 5070, 3847

Auto

29.4 24%

Teleop

40.2 33%

Endgame

52.2 43%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 456, 2881, 5431

/ 100 compat

Projected

218.6 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 456, 2881, 5431

Auto

58.2 25%

Teleop

125.3 54%

Endgame

49.2 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.22 · Blue 2.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score136.7pts

Blue projected score218.6pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -81.9
Score range: 90–266
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 373 vs event baseline 263.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

334.3Season APEX396.7

29.4Auto58.2

40.2Teleop125.3

52.2Endgame49.2

102Consistency94

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	37
teleop	72	132
endgame	44	57
foul	20	0
total	147	226

Result

Final score

147 – 226

Prediction correct · off by 8.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree