Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

368.71 – 115.34

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

243 – 170

Prediction correct · off by 90.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 549 ±8.4

5829Awtybots

Season APEX 179.7Event APEX 112.47Rank 8Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

324Chips

Season APEX 133.4Event APEX 84.5Rank 23Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

118Robonauts

Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 171.74Rank 6Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 362 ±11.9

4336Ramageddon Robotics

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 24.03Rank 31Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

5414Pearadox

Season APEX 180Event APEX 70.64Rank 21Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6357The Spring Konstant

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 20.67Rank 28Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5829, 324, 118

/ 100 compat

Projected

368.7 pts

~2.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5829, 324, 118

Auto

44.8 13%

Teleop

224.6 64%

Endgame

82.6 23%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4336, 5414, 6357

/ 100 compat

Projected

115.3 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4336, 5414, 6357

Auto

23.1 21%

Teleop

31.6 29%

Endgame

54.9 50%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.7 · Blue 0.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score368.7pts

Blue projected score115.3pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 71%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 253.4
Score range: 67–417
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 413 vs event baseline 264.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

549Season APEX362

44.8Auto23.1

224.6Teleop31.6

82.6Endgame54.9

53Consistency142

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	47
teleop	168	110
endgame	52	13
foul	0	0
total	243	170

Result

Final score

243 – 170

Prediction correct · off by 90.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree