Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

329.12 – 383.12

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

418 – 167

Prediction missed · off by 152.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 495.4 ±9.8

10340ITKAN Girls

A+

Season APEX 299.7Event APEX 230.68Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8576Golden Warriors Robotics

Season APEX 148.6Event APEX 97.03Rank 35Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8370Glow With The Flow

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 1.41Rank 18Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 420 ±10.5

10014REBELLION

Season APEX 225.6Event APEX 115.79Rank 10Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4192Jaguar Robotics

Season APEX 86.7Event APEX 179.02Rank 11Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8515Photon

Season APEX 107.7Event APEX 88.31Rank 15Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10340, 8576, 8370

/ 100 compat

Projected

329.1 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10340, 8576, 8370

Auto

76.2 24%

Teleop

184.8 58%

Endgame

56.7 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10014, 4192, 8515

/ 100 compat

Projected

383.1 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10014, 4192, 8515

Auto

47.5 12%

Teleop

245.1 64%

Endgame

88.1 23%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.42 · Blue 2.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score329.1pts

Blue projected score383.1pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 75%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -54
Score range: 281–431
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 585 vs event baseline 263.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

495.4Season APEX420

76.2Auto47.5

184.8Teleop245.1

56.7Endgame88.1

76Consistency118

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	72	44
teleop	257	100
endgame	89	23
foul	0	0
total	418	167

Result

Final score

418 – 167

Prediction missed · off by 152.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree