Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

124.83 – 121.48

51%49%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

212 – 158

Prediction correct · off by 61.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 325.1 ±7.1

127Bluetonium

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 0.11Rank 19Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2582PantherBots

Season APEX 211Event APEX 55.91Rank 7Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 68.81Rank 37Record 2-7-0Status -Confidence -

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 243.8 ±11.6

2587DiscoBots

Season APEX 124.6Event APEX 34Rank 20Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4587Jersey Voltage

Season APEX 48Event APEX 32.57Rank 39Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2585Impact

Season APEX 71.2Event APEX 54.91Rank 25Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 127, 2582, NaN

/ 100 compat

Projected

124.8 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 127, 2582, NaN

Auto

52.3 41%

Teleop

34.6 27%

Endgame

40.7 32%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2587, 4587, 2585

/ 100 compat

Projected

121.5 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2587, 4587, 2585

Auto

34.2 27%

Teleop

69.1 55%

Endgame

21.3 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.78 · Blue 1.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score124.8pts

Blue projected score121.5pts

Red win probability51%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 3.3
Score range: 73–173
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 370 vs event baseline 266.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

325.1Season APEX243.8

52.3Auto34.2

34.6Teleop69.1

40.7Endgame21.3

111Consistency183

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	28
teleop	83	87
endgame	37	43
foul	45	0
total	212	158

Result

Final score

212 – 158

Prediction correct · off by 61.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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