Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

374.16 – 189.32

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

433 – 128

Prediction correct · off by 60.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 609.7 ±9.9

1477Texas Torque

Season APEX 214.2Event APEX 55.3Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5431Titan Robotics

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 30.38Rank 29Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9128ITKAN Robotics

Season APEX 344.8Event APEX 288.48Rank 1Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 354.6 ±11.2

5414Pearadox

Season APEX 180Event APEX 94.63Rank 21Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5070Gearnotics

Season APEX 41.2Event APEX 22.79Rank 33Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

324Chips

Season APEX 133.4Event APEX 71.9Rank 23Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1477, 5431, 9128

/ 100 compat

Projected

374.2 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1477, 5431, 9128

Auto

54.6 16%

Teleop

199.1 59%

Endgame

85.7 25%

Strengths

· 9128 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5414, 5070, 324

/ 100 compat

Projected

189.3 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5414, 5070, 324

Auto

21.2 12%

Teleop

100.2 59%

Endgame

49.8 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.64 · Blue 0.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score374.2pts

Blue projected score189.3pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 184.8
Score range: 141–422
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 561 vs event baseline 265.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

609.7Season APEX354.6

54.6Auto21.2

199.1Teleop100.2

85.7Endgame49.8

128Consistency82

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	86	5
teleop	266	47
endgame	81	76
foul	0	0
total	433	128

Result

Final score

433 – 128

Prediction correct · off by 60.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree