Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

133.52 – 246.78

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

138 – 264

Prediction correct · off by 10.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 112 ±6

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 34.54Rank 37Record 2-7-0Status -Confidence -

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 41.43Rank 37Record 2-7-0Status -Confidence -

4639The RoboSpartans

Season APEX 112Event APEX 57.55Rank 34Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 471.9 ±9.3

3847Spectrum -△◅

Season APEX 245.1Event APEX 136.04Rank 5Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5829Awtybots

Season APEX 179.7Event APEX 77.24Rank 8Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8370Glow With The Flow

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 33.5Rank 18Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · NaN, NaN, 4639

/ 100 compat

Projected

133.5 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: NaN, NaN, 4639

Auto

29.0 23%

Teleop

64.2 50%

Endgame

35.2 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3847, 5829, 8370

/ 100 compat

Projected

246.8 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3847, 5829, 8370

Auto

58.7 25%

Teleop

134.1 57%

Endgame

40.8 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.04 · Blue 2.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score133.5pts

Blue projected score246.8pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -113.3
Score range: 81–300
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 402 vs event baseline 292.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

112Season APEX471.9

29Auto58.7

64.2Teleop134.1

35.2Endgame40.8

61Consistency69

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	63
teleop	46	108
endgame	62	48
foul	0	45
total	138	264

Result

Final score

138 – 264

Prediction correct · off by 10.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree