Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

211.46 – 353.35

15%85%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

191 – 319

Prediction correct · off by 27.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 413.2 ±11.7

8515Photon

Season APEX 107.7Event APEX 112.37Rank 15Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

624CRyptonite

Season APEX 194.8Event APEX 62.73Rank 32Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

456Siege Robotics

Season APEX 110.7Event APEX 36.36Rank 27Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 679.5 ±8.7

9140The Robobots

Season APEX 237.1Event APEX 90.77Rank 24Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1296Full Metal Jackets

Season APEX 262.7Event APEX 132.49Rank 14Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5829Awtybots

Season APEX 179.7Event APEX 130.09Rank 8Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8515, 624, 456

/ 100 compat

Projected

211.5 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8515, 624, 456

Auto

41.5 20%

Teleop

163.7 78%

Endgame

4.9 2%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9140, 1296, 5829

/ 100 compat

Projected

353.4 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9140, 1296, 5829

Auto

67.8 20%

Teleop

167.5 51%

Endgame

95.7 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.09 · Blue 2.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score211.5pts

Blue projected score353.4pts

Red win probability15%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 72%, blue 72%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -141.9
Score range: 165–399
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 510 vs event baseline 257.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

413.2Season APEX679.5

41.5Auto67.8

163.7Teleop167.5

4.9Endgame95.7

118Consistency160

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	36
teleop	130	209
endgame	10	74
foul	0	0
total	191	319

Result

Final score

191 – 319

Prediction correct · off by 27.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree