Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

81.18 – 376.22

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

71 – 342

Prediction correct · off by 22.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 207.1 ±11

8370Glow With The Flow

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX -13.75Rank 18Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4639The RoboSpartans

Season APEX 112Event APEX 43.62Rank 34Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4587Jersey Voltage

Season APEX 48Event APEX 51.31Rank 39Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 510.6 ±11.2

2587DiscoBots

Season APEX 124.6Event APEX 61.45Rank 20Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5070Gearnotics

Season APEX 41.2Event APEX 30.49Rank 33Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9128ITKAN Robotics

Season APEX 344.8Event APEX 284.28Rank 1Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8370, 4639, 4587

/ 100 compat

Projected

81.2 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8370, 4639, 4587

Auto

10.0 16%

Teleop

16.9 27%

Endgame

34.9 56%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2587, 5070, 9128

/ 100 compat

Projected

376.2 pts

~2.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2587, 5070, 9128

Auto

34.3 10%

Teleop

250.7 70%

Endgame

75.3 21%

Strengths

· 9128 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.65 · Blue 2.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score81.2pts

Blue projected score376.2pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -295
Score range: 34–423
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 413 vs event baseline 260.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

207.1Season APEX510.6

10Auto34.3

16.9Teleop250.7

34.9Endgame75.3

150Consistency140

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	61
teleop	37	183
endgame	17	83
foul	0	15
total	71	342

Result

Final score

71 – 342

Prediction correct · off by 22.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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