Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

271.67 – 237.79

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

328 – 179

Prediction correct · off by 57.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 480.9 ±9.3

5414Pearadox

Season APEX 180Event APEX 81.02Rank 21Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1477Texas Torque

Season APEX 214.2Event APEX 51.68Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4192Jaguar Robotics

Season APEX 86.7Event APEX 138.97Rank 11Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 323.4 ±7.8

6377Howdy Bots

Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 114.84Rank 17Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 53.51Rank 37Record 2-7-0Status -Confidence -

2582PantherBots

Season APEX 211Event APEX 69.44Rank 7Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5414, 1477, 4192

/ 100 compat

Projected

271.7 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5414, 1477, 4192

Auto

42.3 17%

Teleop

106.8 43%

Endgame

101.1 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6377, NaN, 2582

/ 100 compat

Projected

237.8 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6377, NaN, 2582

Auto

65.6 28%

Teleop

123.4 52%

Endgame

47.9 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.98 · Blue 1.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score271.7pts

Blue projected score237.8pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 33.9
Score range: 191–319
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 507 vs event baseline 260.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

480.9Season APEX323.4

42.3Auto65.6

106.8Teleop123.4

101.1Endgame47.9

149Consistency110

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	47
teleop	165	74
endgame	73	43
foul	45	15
total	328	179

Result

Final score

328 – 179

Prediction correct · off by 57.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree