Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

304.23 – 115.2

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

393 – 298

Prediction correct · off by 135.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 647.2 ±9.3

10340ITKAN Girls

A+

Season APEX 299.7Event APEX 171.4Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1296Full Metal Jackets

Season APEX 262.7Event APEX 111.8Rank 14Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6357The Spring Konstant

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 21.03Rank 28Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 431.9 ±7.1

9140The Robobots

Season APEX 237.1Event APEX 65.53Rank 24Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

624CRyptonite

Season APEX 194.8Event APEX 34.83Rank 32Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 14.84Rank 37Record 2-7-0Status -Confidence -

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10340, 1296, 6357

/ 100 compat

Projected

304.2 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10340, 1296, 6357

Auto

69.3 23%

Teleop

172.4 58%

Endgame

53.4 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9140, 624, NaN

/ 100 compat

Projected

115.2 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9140, 624, NaN

Auto

15.3 13%

Teleop

52.8 43%

Endgame

53.9 44%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.62 · Blue 0.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score304.2pts

Blue projected score115.2pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 71%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 189
Score range: 69–350
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 691 vs event baseline 256.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

647.2Season APEX431.9

69.3Auto15.3

172.4Teleop52.8

53.4Endgame53.9

164Consistency132

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	105	67
teleop	186	151
endgame	102	80
foul	0	0
total	393	298

Result

Final score

393 – 298

Prediction correct · off by 135.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree