Qualification · Qualification 23
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
324.86 – 200.95
82%18%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
396 – 218
Prediction correct · off by 44.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 706.6 ±7.7
Season APEX 225.6Event APEX 67.91Rank 10Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 129.66Rank 6Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 245.1Event APEX 127.29Rank 5Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 333 ±12.2
Season APEX 133.4Event APEX 107.15Rank 23Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 128.4Event APEX 35.68Rank 26Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 71.2Event APEX 58.12Rank 25Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10014, 118, 3847
79
/ 100 compatProjected
324.9 pts
~2.4 RP (offseason)
Teams: 10014, 118, 3847
Auto
68.9 22%
Teleop
194.4 61%
Endgame
56.1 18%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 324, 3616, 2585
55
/ 100 compatProjected
201 pts
~1.2 RP (offseason)
Teams: 324, 3616, 2585
Auto
40.9 21%
Teleop
70.6 37%
Endgame
80.2 42%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.44 · Blue 1.17
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score324.9pts
Blue projected score201pts
Red win probability82%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 67%, blue 73%
Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 7%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 123.9
- Score range
- 155–371
- Upset likelihood
- 18%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
706.6Season APEX333
68.9Auto40.9
194.4Teleop70.6
56.1Endgame80.2
159Consistency131
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 39 | 35 |
| teleop | 266 | 118 |
| endgame | 91 | 65 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 396 | 218 |
Result
Final score
396 – 218
Prediction correct · off by 44.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree