Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

86.47 – 126.73

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

161 – 244

Prediction correct · off by 95.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 250.1 ±11

7691TSA All Stars

Season APEX 69.6Event APEX 20.56Rank 36Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5427Steel Talons

Season APEX 129.8Event APEX 43.95Rank 13Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5431Titan Robotics

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 21.96Rank 29Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 319.1 ±12.9

4336Ramageddon Robotics

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX -22.35Rank 31Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

8515Photon

Season APEX 107.7Event APEX 85.92Rank 15Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9418Pastabots

Season APEX 114.2Event APEX 63.16Rank 9Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7691, 5427, 5431

/ 100 compat

Projected

86.5 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7691, 5427, 5431

Auto

11.7 12%

Teleop

25.8 27%

Endgame

58.1 61%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4336, 8515, 9418

/ 100 compat

Projected

126.7 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4336, 8515, 9418

Auto

4.1 3%

Teleop

118.8 87%

Endgame

14.1 10%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.53 · Blue 2.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score86.5pts

Blue projected score126.7pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 75%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -40.3
Score range: 41–172
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 405 vs event baseline 252.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

250.1Season APEX319.1

11.7Auto4.1

25.8Teleop118.8

58.1Endgame14.1

158Consistency189

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	18
teleop	124	155
endgame	12	71
foul	0	0
total	161	244

Result

Final score

161 – 244

Prediction correct · off by 95.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree