Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

158.8 – 472.94

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

186 – 440

Prediction correct · off by 30.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 290.7 ±9.4

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 8.84Rank 37Record 2-7-0Status -Confidence -

456Siege Robotics

Season APEX 110.7Event APEX 63.66Rank 27Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

5414Pearadox

Season APEX 180Event APEX 86.3Rank 21Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 694.2 ±8.7

9128ITKAN Robotics

Season APEX 344.8Event APEX 275.18Rank 1Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

127Bluetonium

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 48.61Rank 19Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2881Lady Cans

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 149.15Rank 3Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · NaN, 456, 5414

/ 100 compat

Projected

158.8 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: NaN, 456, 5414

Auto

42.7 27%

Teleop

57.8 36%

Endgame

58.2 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9128, 127, 2881

/ 100 compat

Projected

472.9 pts

~2.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9128, 127, 2881

Auto

89.7 20%

Teleop

275.9 60%

Endgame

90.8 20%

Strengths

· 9128 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.78 · Blue 2.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score158.8pts

Blue projected score472.9pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 18%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -314.1
Score range: 114–518
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 626 vs event baseline 249.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

290.7Season APEX694.2

42.7Auto89.7

57.8Teleop275.9

58.2Endgame90.8

36Consistency60

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	91
teleop	85	266
endgame	61	83
foul	0	0
total	186	440

Result

Final score

186 – 440

Prediction correct · off by 30.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree