Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

261.65 – 216.02

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

231 – 216

Prediction correct · off by 15.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 457.1 ±11.9

2881Lady Cans

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 168.14Rank 3Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2587DiscoBots

Season APEX 124.6Event APEX 66.67Rank 20Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4336Ramageddon Robotics

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 26.84Rank 31Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 332.2 ±10.5

5431Titan Robotics

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 23.02Rank 29Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4192Jaguar Robotics

Season APEX 86.7Event APEX 128.66Rank 11Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

624CRyptonite

Season APEX 194.8Event APEX 64.34Rank 32Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2881, 2587, 4336

/ 100 compat

Projected

261.7 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2881, 2587, 4336

Auto

55.2 21%

Teleop

148.7 58%

Endgame

53.9 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5431, 4192, 624

/ 100 compat

Projected

216 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5431, 4192, 624

Auto

41.9 20%

Teleop

121.6 58%

Endgame

47.1 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.02 · Blue 1.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score261.7pts

Blue projected score216pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 72%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 45.6
Score range: 163–315
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 447 vs event baseline 292.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

457.1Season APEX332.2

55.2Auto41.9

148.7Teleop121.6

53.9Endgame47.1

96Consistency88

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	54	21
teleop	152	108
endgame	25	87
foul	0	0
total	231	216

Result

Final score

231 – 216

Prediction correct · off by 15.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree