Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

245.24 – 207.36

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

253 – 155

Prediction correct · off by 30.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 596.1 ±9.3

324Chips

Season APEX 133.4Event APEX 112.32Rank 23Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10014REBELLION

Season APEX 225.6Event APEX 52.58Rank 10Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9140The Robobots

Season APEX 237.1Event APEX 80.34Rank 24Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 284.1 ±10.4

8370Glow With The Flow

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 17.75Rank 18Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2587DiscoBots

Season APEX 124.6Event APEX 66.87Rank 20Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6377Howdy Bots

Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 122.74Rank 17Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 324, 10014, 9140

/ 100 compat

Projected

245.2 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 324, 10014, 9140

Auto

20.6 9%

Teleop

115.6 49%

Endgame

98.6 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 74%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8370, 2587, 6377

/ 100 compat

Projected

207.4 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8370, 2587, 6377

Auto

30.9 16%

Teleop

127.1 66%

Endgame

34.1 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 74%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.06 · Blue 1.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score245.2pts

Blue projected score207.4pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 74%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 37.9
Score range: 162–290
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 408 vs event baseline 251.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

596.1Season APEX284.1

20.6Auto30.9

115.6Teleop127.1

98.6Endgame34.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	34
teleop	148	89
endgame	76	32
foul	0	0
total	253	155

Result

Final score

253 – 155

Prediction correct · off by 30.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree