Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

154.85 – 197.99

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

130 – 180

Prediction correct · off by 21.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 321.5 ±11

7492Turbo Torque

Season APEX 124.9Event APEX 6.36Rank 38Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4587Jersey Voltage

Season APEX 48Event APEX 90.65Rank 39Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8576Golden Warriors Robotics

Season APEX 148.6Event APEX 57.84Rank 35Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 524.7 ±9.3

624CRyptonite

Season APEX 194.8Event APEX 42.63Rank 32Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6357The Spring Konstant

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 31.95Rank 28Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3847Spectrum -△◅

Season APEX 245.1Event APEX 123.41Rank 5Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7492, 4587, 8576

/ 100 compat

Projected

154.9 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7492, 4587, 8576

Auto

40.3 26%

Teleop

74.3 49%

Endgame

38.2 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 624, 6357, 3847

/ 100 compat

Projected

198 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 624, 6357, 3847

Auto

20.2 11%

Teleop

91.4 49%

Endgame

76.7 41%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.4 · Blue 2.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score154.9pts

Blue projected score198pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 70%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -43.1
Score range: 109–244
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 310 vs event baseline 257.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

321.5Season APEX524.7

40.3Auto20.2

74.3Teleop91.4

38.2Endgame76.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	56
teleop	69	107
endgame	32	17
foul	0	0
total	130	180

Result

Final score

130 – 180

Prediction correct · off by 21.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree