Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

191.64 – 295

22%78%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

347 – 208

Prediction missed · off by 121.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 410.4 ±9.4

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 38.25Rank 37Record 2-7-0Status -Confidence -

10340ITKAN Girls

A+

Season APEX 299.7Event APEX 120.47Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

456Siege Robotics

Season APEX 110.7Event APEX 32.92Rank 27Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 270 ±12.9

5431Titan Robotics

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 39.08Rank 29Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7312T3

Season APEX 122.1Event APEX 248.93Rank 16Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4336Ramageddon Robotics

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 6.99Rank 31Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · NaN, 10340, 456

/ 100 compat

Projected

191.6 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: NaN, 10340, 456

Auto

48.3 26%

Teleop

94.4 50%

Endgame

46.7 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5431, 7312, 4336

/ 100 compat

Projected

295 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5431, 7312, 4336

Auto

54.5 19%

Teleop

174.0 59%

Endgame

65.1 22%

Strengths

· 7312 anchors offense

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.19 · Blue 2.42

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score191.6pts

Blue projected score295pts

Red win probability22%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 73%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -103.4
Score range: 147–340
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 555 vs event baseline 250.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

410.4Season APEX270

48.3Auto54.5

94.4Teleop174

46.7Endgame65.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	93	44
teleop	225	113
endgame	24	51
foul	5	0
total	347	208

Result

Final score

347 – 208

Prediction missed · off by 121.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree