Qualification · Qualification 13
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
189.44 – 155.19
60%40%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
211 – 252
Prediction missed · off by 59.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 456.9 ±10.5
Season APEX 148.6Event APEX 35.02Rank 35Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 237.1Event APEX 78.42Rank 24Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 71.2Event APEX 76Rank 25Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 342.2 ±10.5
Season APEX 114.2Event APEX 59.89Rank 9Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 180Event APEX 57.03Rank 21Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 48Event APEX 38.27Rank 39Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8576, 9140, 2585
53
/ 100 compatProjected
189.4 pts
~2.0 RP (offseason)
Teams: 8576, 9140, 2585
Auto
15.1 8%
Teleop
97.0 54%
Endgame
68.0 38%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 70%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9418, 5414, 4587
53
/ 100 compatProjected
155.2 pts
~1.5 RP (offseason)
Teams: 9418, 5414, 4587
Auto
36.6 22%
Teleop
80.5 48%
Endgame
50.6 30%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 70%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2 · Blue 1.54
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score189.4pts
Blue projected score155.2pts
Red win probability60%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 70%, blue 65%
Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 8%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 34.3
- Score range
- 108–236
- Upset likelihood
- 40%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
456.9Season APEX342.2
15.1Auto36.6
97Teleop80.5
68Endgame50.6
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 36 | 14 |
| teleop | 118 | 139 |
| endgame | 57 | 99 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 211 | 252 |
Result
Final score
211 – 252
Prediction missed · off by 59.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree