Qualification · Qualification 12

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

149.03 – 161.62

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

57 – 181

Prediction correct · off by 55.7 points

Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 250.9 ±11.7

7492Turbo Torque

Season APEX 124.9Event APEX 45.55Rank 38Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6357The Spring Konstant

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 66.39Rank 28Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5070Gearnotics

Season APEX 41.2Event APEX 37.09Rank 33Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 350.2 ±7.8

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 38.4Rank 37Record 2-7-0Status -Confidence -

2587DiscoBots

Season APEX 124.6Event APEX 44.72Rank 20Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10014REBELLION

Season APEX 225.6Event APEX 78.5Rank 10Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7492, 6357, 5070

/ 100 compat

Projected

149 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7492, 6357, 5070

Auto

12.5 9%

Teleop

70.2 51%

Endgame

53.8 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · NaN, 2587, 10014

/ 100 compat

Projected

161.6 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: NaN, 2587, 10014

Auto

28.1 17%

Teleop

88.1 55%

Endgame

44.6 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.67 · Blue 1.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score149pts

Blue projected score161.6pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 68%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -12.6
Score range: 99–212
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 238 vs event baseline 276.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

250.9Season APEX350.2

12.5Auto28.1

70.2Teleop88.1

53.8Endgame44.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	16
teleop	29	137
endgame	17	28
foul	0	0
total	57	181

Result

Final score

57 – 181

Prediction correct · off by 55.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.