Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

133.34 – 173.61

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

151 – 171

Prediction correct · off by 10.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 332.3 ±9.8

127Bluetonium

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX -13.66Rank 19Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8576Golden Warriors Robotics

Season APEX 148.6Event APEX 89.6Rank 35Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7691TSA All Stars

Season APEX 69.6Event APEX 57.4Rank 36Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 383.8 ±12.4

1477Texas Torque

Season APEX 214.2Event APEX 72.32Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3616Team Phenomena

Season APEX 128.4Event APEX 76.67Rank 26Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5070Gearnotics

Season APEX 41.2Event APEX 24.62Rank 33Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 127, 8576, 7691

/ 100 compat

Projected

133.3 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 127, 8576, 7691

Auto

22.1 17%

Teleop

88.4 67%

Endgame

21.9 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1477, 3616, 5070

/ 100 compat

Projected

173.6 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1477, 3616, 5070

Auto

18.2 11%

Teleop

93.3 57%

Endgame

51.6 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.46 · Blue 1.96

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score133.3pts

Blue projected score173.6pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -40.3
Score range: 80–227
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 322 vs event baseline 292.3.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

332.3Season APEX383.8

22.1Auto18.2

88.4Teleop93.3

21.9Endgame51.6

65Consistency84

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	10
teleop	80	81
endgame	36	50
foul	15	30
total	151	171

Result

Final score

151 – 171

Prediction correct · off by 10.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree