Final · Finals 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

470.8 – 581.86

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

477 – 613

Prediction correct · off by 18.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 688.2 ±9.3

4639The RoboSpartans

Season APEX 112Event APEX 57.23Rank 34Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2881Lady Cans

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 168.03Rank 3Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8044Denham Venom

Season APEX 340.9Event APEX 245.54Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 769.1 ±9.3

9128ITKAN Robotics

Season APEX 344.8Event APEX 284.5Rank 1Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2587DiscoBots

Season APEX 124.6Event APEX 65.19Rank 20Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10340ITKAN Girls

A+

Season APEX 299.7Event APEX 232.17Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4639, 2881, 8044

/ 100 compat

Projected

470.8 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4639, 2881, 8044

Auto

106.2 23%

Teleop

258.3 56%

Endgame

98.6 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9128, 2587, 10340

/ 100 compat

Projected

581.9 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9128, 2587, 10340

Auto

114.4 20%

Teleop

336.5 60%

Endgame

109.5 20%

Strengths

· 9128 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.04 · Blue 2.38

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score470.8pts

Blue projected score581.9pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 18%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -111.1
Score range: 419–634
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 1090 vs event baseline 288.9.

← Previous

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

688.2Season APEX769.1

106.2Auto114.4

258.3Teleop336.5

98.6Endgame109.5

33Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	127	168
teleop	252	277
endgame	83	118
foul	15	50
total	477	613

Result

Final score

477 – 613

Prediction correct · off by 18.7 pts