Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

473.62 – 588.65

19%81%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

451 – 538

Prediction correct · off by 36.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 688.2 ±9.3

4639The RoboSpartans

Season APEX 112Event APEX 58.39Rank 34Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2881Lady Cans

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 168.75Rank 3Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8044Denham Venom

Season APEX 340.9Event APEX 246.48Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 769.1 ±9.3

9128ITKAN Robotics

Season APEX 344.8Event APEX 286.38Rank 1Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2587DiscoBots

Season APEX 124.6Event APEX 67.94Rank 20Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10340ITKAN Girls

A+

Season APEX 299.7Event APEX 234.33Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4639, 2881, 8044

/ 100 compat

Projected

473.6 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4639, 2881, 8044

Auto

102.1 22%

Teleop

264.1 57%

Endgame

98.7 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9128, 2587, 10340

/ 100 compat

Projected

588.7 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9128, 2587, 10340

Auto

121.2 21%

Teleop

337.0 59%

Endgame

108.8 19%

Strengths

· 9128 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.03 · Blue 2.4

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score473.6pts

Blue projected score588.7pts

Red win probability19%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 18%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -115
Score range: 422–641
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 989 vs event baseline 286.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

688.2Season APEX769.1

102.1Auto121.2

264.1Teleop337

98.7Endgame108.8

26Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	134	71
teleop	219	333
endgame	98	114
foul	0	20
total	451	538

Result

Final score

451 – 538

Prediction correct · off by 36.6 pts