Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

466 – 508.99

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

517 – 499

Prediction missed · off by 30.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 688.2 ±9.3

4639The RoboSpartans

Season APEX 112Event APEX 55.71Rank 34Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2881Lady Cans

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 166.24Rank 3Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8044Denham Venom

Season APEX 340.9Event APEX 244.05Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 758.6 ±8.7

9128ITKAN Robotics

Season APEX 344.8Event APEX 287.03Rank 1Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

127Bluetonium

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX -12.87Rank 19Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10340ITKAN Girls

A+

Season APEX 299.7Event APEX 234.83Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4639, 2881, 8044

/ 100 compat

Projected

466 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4639, 2881, 8044

Auto

97.2 21%

Teleop

253.2 56%

Endgame

105.6 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9128, 127, 10340

/ 100 compat

Projected

509 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9128, 127, 10340

Auto

116.4 24%

Teleop

287.2 59%

Endgame

85.9 18%

Strengths

· 9128 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.38 · Blue 2.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score466pts

Blue projected score509pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 19%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -43
Score range: 415–560
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 1016 vs event baseline 283.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

688.2Season APEX758.6

97.2Auto116.4

253.2Teleop287.2

105.6Endgame85.9

22Consistency52

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	130	110
teleop	328	297
endgame	59	92
foul	0	0
total	517	499

Result

Final score

517 – 499

Prediction missed · off by 30.5 pts