Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
332.53 – 106.43
94%6%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
139 – 179
Prediction missed · off by 133 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 563.6 ±9.3
Season APEX 241.9Event APEX 127.07Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 67.8Event APEX 16.58Rank 16Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 253.9Event APEX 188.88Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 442.7 ±10.5
Season APEX 125.2Event APEX 32.79Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 115.7Event APEX 19.18Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 201.8Event APEX 54.46Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3005, 4153, 148
79
/ 100 compatProjected
332.5 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 3005, 4153, 148
Auto
50.1 15%
Teleop
205.0 62%
Endgame
73.3 22%
Strengths
- · 148 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7503, 7119, 4206
57
/ 100 compatProjected
106.4 pts
~0.5 RP (district)
Teams: 7503, 7119, 4206
Auto
25.2 25%
Teleop
48.2 47%
Endgame
28.5 28%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.38 · Blue 0.51
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score332.5pts
Blue projected score106.4pts
Red win probability94%
Event bonus sample126alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 45%, blue 35%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 226.1
- Score range
- 83–356
- Upset likelihood
- 6%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
563.6Season APEX442.7
50.1Auto25.2
205Teleop48.2
73.3Endgame28.5
0Consistency32
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 30 | 31 |
| teleop | 87 | 114 |
| endgame | 22 | 29 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 139 | 179 |
Result
Final score
139 – 179
Prediction missed · off by 133 pts
Match videos
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