Playoff · Playoff Match 5 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
0 – 38.57
38%62%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
0 – 2
Prediction correct · off by 18.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3
Season APEX 0Event APEX 0Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0
Season APEX 0Event APEX 0Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0
Season APEX 0Event APEX 0Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 113.4 ±13.3
Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 16.78Rank 13Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 22.1Event APEX -9.07Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 39.8Event APEX 30.86Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9991, 9990, 9992
8
/ 100 compatProjected
0 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 9991, 9990, 9992
Auto
0.0 0%
Teleop
0.0 0%
Endgame
0.0 0%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 25%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1164, 7121, 9786
24
/ 100 compatProjected
38.6 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 1164, 7121, 9786
Auto
16.0 49%
Teleop
8.2 25%
Endgame
8.5 26%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 25%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.06 · Blue 1.57
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score0pts
Blue projected score38.6pts
Red win probability38%
Event bonus sample126alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 25%, blue 30%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -38.6
- Score range
- -24–63
- Upset likelihood
- 38%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
0Season APEX113.4
0Auto16
0Teleop8.2
0Endgame8.5
0Consistency37
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 0 | 0 |
| teleop | 0 | 2 |
| endgame | 0 | 0 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 0 | 2 |
Result
Final score
0 – 2
Prediction correct · off by 18.3 pts
Match videos
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