Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

102.86 – 34.38

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

143 – 73

Prediction correct · off by 39.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 442.7 ±10.5

7503Radicubs

Season APEX 125.2Event APEX 31.85Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7119Sunset RoboBison

Season APEX 115.7Event APEX 18.53Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4206Robo Vikes

Season APEX 201.8Event APEX 52.48Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 113.4 ±13.3

1164Project NEO

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 14.69Rank 13Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7121Keller Fusion Robotics

Season APEX 22.1Event APEX -9.97Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9786MHS Wolfpack Team 9786

Season APEX 39.8Event APEX 29.66Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7503, 7119, 4206

/ 100 compat

Projected

102.9 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7503, 7119, 4206

Auto

24.8 25%

Teleop

46.3 47%

Endgame

26.4 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1164, 7121, 9786

/ 100 compat

Projected

34.4 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1164, 7121, 9786

Auto

17.6 65%

Teleop

4.8 18%

Endgame

4.8 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.8 · Blue 0.94

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score102.9pts

Blue projected score34.4pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample126alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 68.5
Score range: 10–127
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 216 vs event baseline 130.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

442.7Season APEX113.4

24.8Auto17.6

46.3Teleop4.8

26.4Endgame4.8

33Consistency30

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	11
teleop	70	34
endgame	44	28
foul	0	0
total	143	73

Result

Final score

143 – 73

Prediction correct · off by 39.4 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.