Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

345.95 – 65.11

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

307 – 0

Prediction correct · off by 52 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 563.6 ±9.3

3005RoboChargers

Season APEX 241.9Event APEX 130.89Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4153Project Y

Season APEX 67.8Event APEX 20.62Rank 16Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

148Robowranglers

Season APEX 253.9Event APEX 194.44Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

9991Off-Season Demo Team 9991

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9990Off-Season Demo Team 9990

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9992Off-Season Demo Team 9992

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3005, 4153, 148

/ 100 compat

Projected

346 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3005, 4153, 148

Auto

53.9 16%

Teleop

211.1 62%

Endgame

76.2 22%

Strengths

· 148 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9991, 9990, 9992

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.1 pts

~0.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9991, 9990, 9992

Auto

19.5 30%

Teleop

32.6 50%

Endgame

13.0 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.44 · Blue 0.35

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score346pts

Blue projected score65.1pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample126alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 280.8
Score range: 42–369
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 307 vs event baseline 130.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

563.6Season APEX0

53.9Auto-

211.1Teleop-

76.2Endgame-

0Consistency-

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	0
teleop	201	0
endgame	71	0
foul	0	0
total	307	0

Result

Final score

307 – 0

Prediction correct · off by 52 pts

Match videos

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