Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

117.85 – 305.01

9%91%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

117 – 335

Prediction correct · off by 15.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 442.7 ±10.5

7503Radicubs

Season APEX 125.2Event APEX 35.58Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7119Sunset RoboBison

Season APEX 115.7Event APEX 21.53Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4206Robo Vikes

Season APEX 201.8Event APEX 60.74Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 563.6 ±9.3

3005RoboChargers

Season APEX 241.9Event APEX 119.12Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4153Project Y

Season APEX 67.8Event APEX 7.54Rank 16Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

148Robowranglers

Season APEX 253.9Event APEX 178.35Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7503, 7119, 4206

/ 100 compat

Projected

117.9 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 7503, 7119, 4206

Auto

25.4 22%

Teleop

61.4 54%

Endgame

27.3 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3005, 4153, 148

/ 100 compat

Projected

305 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3005, 4153, 148

Auto

50.2 17%

Teleop

185.6 62%

Endgame

65.0 22%

Strengths

· 148 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.57 · Blue 2.32

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score117.9pts

Blue projected score305pts

Red win probability9%

Event bonus sample126alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -187.2
Score range: 93–330
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 452 vs event baseline 138.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

442.7Season APEX563.6

25.4Auto50.2

61.4Teleop185.6

27.3Endgame65

44Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	61
teleop	29	195
endgame	49	79
foul	20	0
total	117	335

Result

Final score

117 – 335

Prediction correct · off by 15.4 pts

Match videos

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