Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

77.87 – 113.24

39%61%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

104 – 190

Prediction correct · off by 51.4 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 331.1 ±10.4

2728♨️ TACO ♨️

Season APEX 137.2Event APEX 28.95Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6901Knights

Season APEX 68.7Event APEX 20Rank 21Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7503Radicubs

Season APEX 125.2Event APEX 28.92Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 437.4 ±10.5

4153Project Y

Season APEX 67.8Event APEX 1.81Rank 16Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7119Sunset RoboBison

Season APEX 115.7Event APEX 20Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

148Robowranglers

Season APEX 253.9Event APEX 91.43Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2728, 6901, 7503

/ 100 compat

Projected

77.9 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 2728, 6901, 7503

Auto

15.7 21%

Teleop

48.6 65%

Endgame

10.4 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4153, 7119, 148

/ 100 compat

Projected

113.2 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4153, 7119, 148

Auto

12.5 12%

Teleop

71.8 66%

Endgame

24.3 22%

Strengths

· 148 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.24 · Blue 1.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score77.9pts

Blue projected score113.2pts

Red win probability39%

Event bonus sample126alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -35.4
Score range: 60–131
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 294 vs event baseline 101.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

331.1Season APEX437.4

15.7Auto12.5

48.6Teleop71.8

10.4Endgame24.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	40
teleop	42	114
endgame	27	36
foul	0	0
total	104	190

Result

Final score

104 – 190

Prediction correct · off by 51.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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