Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

74.05 – 247.77

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

208 – 293

Prediction correct · off by 89.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 245.8 ±11

2714♨️ BBQ ♨️

Season APEX 134.9Event APEX 70.95Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4076Texan Robotics

Season APEX 42.2Event APEX 0.03Rank 20Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6901Knights

Season APEX 68.7Event APEX 3.07Rank 21Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 430.6 ±10.5

1164Project NEO

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 10.34Rank 13Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3005RoboChargers

Season APEX 241.9Event APEX 128.59Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2728♨️ TACO ♨️

Season APEX 137.2Event APEX 108.84Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2714, 4076, 6901

/ 100 compat

Projected

74.1 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 2714, 4076, 6901

Auto

18.4 24%

Teleop

47.1 61%

Endgame

11.5 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1164, 3005, 2728

/ 100 compat

Projected

247.8 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1164, 3005, 2728

Auto

46.6 19%

Teleop

138.2 57%

Endgame

57.8 24%

Strengths

· 3005 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.62 · Blue 2.31

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score74.1pts

Blue projected score247.8pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample126alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -173.7
Score range: 51–271
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 501 vs event baseline 127.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

245.8Season APEX430.6

18.4Auto46.6

47.1Teleop138.2

11.5Endgame57.8

20Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	50
teleop	102	158
endgame	85	80
foul	5	5
total	208	293

Result

Final score

208 – 293

Prediction correct · off by 89.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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