Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

184.08 – 75.47

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

224 – 113

Prediction correct · off by 38.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 402 ±10.5

6672Fusion Corps

Season APEX 120.9Event APEX 69.83Rank 12Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8858Beast from the East

Season APEX 226.8Event APEX 92.86Rank 3Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7540Timberwolf Robotics

Season APEX 54.3Event APEX 21.39Rank 17Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 232.8 ±11.7

4153Project Y

Season APEX 67.8Event APEX 18.21Rank 16Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9786MHS Wolfpack Team 9786

Season APEX 39.8Event APEX 28.14Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7503Radicubs

Season APEX 125.2Event APEX 29.12Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6672, 8858, 7540

/ 100 compat

Projected

184.1 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6672, 8858, 7540

Auto

16.2 9%

Teleop

113.1 62%

Endgame

54.6 30%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4153, 9786, 7503

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.5 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4153, 9786, 7503

Auto

17.5 28%

Teleop

19.5 31%

Endgame

26.3 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.1 · Blue 0.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score184.1pts

Blue projected score75.5pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample126alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 108.6
Score range: 52–207
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 337 vs event baseline 126.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

402Season APEX232.8

16.2Auto17.5

113.1Teleop19.5

54.6Endgame26.3

44Consistency2

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	26
teleop	130	53
endgame	69	29
foul	0	5
total	224	113

Result

Final score

224 – 113

Prediction correct · off by 38.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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