Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

211.07 – 56.72

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

286 – 67

Prediction correct · off by 42.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 337.9 ±13.5

7534Dragonflies

Season APEX 25.6Event APEX 17.13Rank 24Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 76

148Robowranglers

Season APEX 253.9Event APEX 190.36Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10032Singularity

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 3.58Rank 15Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 262.6 ±12.4

7121Keller Fusion Robotics

Season APEX 22.1Event APEX -8.3Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4206Robo Vikes

Season APEX 201.8Event APEX 53.38Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9137Bionic Vipers

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 11.64Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7534, 148, 10032

/ 100 compat

Projected

211.1 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7534, 148, 10032

Auto

34.6 17%

Teleop

129.5 65%

Endgame

36.1 18%

Strengths

· 148 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7121, 4206, 9137

/ 100 compat

Projected

56.7 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 7121, 4206, 9137

Auto

21.0 36%

Teleop

20.8 36%

Endgame

16.4 28%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.14 · Blue 0.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score211.1pts

Blue projected score56.7pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample126alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 154.4
Score range: 34–234
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 353 vs event baseline 125.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

337.9Season APEX262.6

34.6Auto21

129.5Teleop20.8

36.1Endgame16.4

14Consistency14

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	25
teleop	186	20
endgame	64	17
foul	0	5
total	286	67

Result

Final score

286 – 67

Prediction correct · off by 42.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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