Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

263.78 – 120.05

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

317 – 256

Prediction correct · off by 94.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 497.7 ±9.8

6672Fusion Corps

Season APEX 120.9Event APEX 66.7Rank 12Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2714♨️ BBQ ♨️

Season APEX 134.9Event APEX 69.22Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3005RoboChargers

Season APEX 241.9Event APEX 127.86Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 259.3 ±11

2728♨️ TACO ♨️

Season APEX 137.2Event APEX 100.06Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4153Project Y

Season APEX 67.8Event APEX 8.39Rank 16Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7540Timberwolf Robotics

Season APEX 54.3Event APEX 11.6Rank 17Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6672, 2714, 3005

/ 100 compat

Projected

263.8 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6672, 2714, 3005

Auto

34.7 13%

Teleop

159.4 60%

Endgame

72.6 27%

Strengths

· 3005 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2728, 4153, 7540

/ 100 compat

Projected

120.1 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2728, 4153, 7540

Auto

28.8 24%

Teleop

59.7 49%

Endgame

33.1 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.21 · Blue 0.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score263.8pts

Blue projected score120.1pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample126alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 143.7
Score range: 98–286
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 573 vs event baseline 122.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

497.7Season APEX259.3

34.7Auto28.8

159.4Teleop59.7

72.6Endgame33.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	16
teleop	214	134
endgame	60	91
foul	0	15
total	317	256

Result

Final score

317 – 256

Prediction correct · off by 94.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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