Qualification · Qualification 42
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
30.28 – 83.99
34%66%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
110 – 134
Prediction correct · off by 64.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 311.8 ±11
Season APEX 58.4Event APEX -1.26Rank 15Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 137.7Event APEX 16.69Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 115.7Event APEX 14.85Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 233.3 ±13.9
Season APEX 21.4Event APEX 18.82Rank 19Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 125.2Event APEX 29.35Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 86.7Event APEX 35.82Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10032, 3310, 7119
12
/ 100 compatProjected
30.3 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 10032, 3310, 7119
Auto
17.6 68%
Teleop
17.1 66%
Endgame
-8.7 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 29%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5212, 7503, 4192
47
/ 100 compatProjected
84 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 5212, 7503, 4192
Auto
27.5 34%
Teleop
37.7 47%
Endgame
15.6 19%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 29%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1 · Blue 1.71
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score30.3pts
Blue projected score84pts
Red win probability34%
Event bonus sample126alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 29%, blue 35%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -53.7
- Score range
- 8–106
- Upset likelihood
- 34%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
311.8Season APEX233.3
17.6Auto27.5
17.1Teleop37.7
-8.7Endgame15.6
55Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 20 | 28 |
| teleop | 47 | 31 |
| endgame | 28 | 40 |
| foul | 15 | 35 |
| total | 110 | 134 |
Result
Final score
110 – 134
Prediction correct · off by 64.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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