Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

35.8 – 141.77

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

26 – 153

Prediction correct · off by 10.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 169.2 ±12.2

6901Knights

Season APEX 68.7Event APEX 8.02Rank 21Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4641TALON Inc.

Season APEX 61.8Event APEX 12.07Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9137Bionic Vipers

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 15.71Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 489.7 ±9.8

7503Radicubs

Season APEX 125.2Event APEX 28.74Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8858Beast from the East

Season APEX 226.8Event APEX 94.23Rank 3Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3310Black Hawk Robotics

Season APEX 137.7Event APEX 18.8Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6901, 4641, 9137

/ 100 compat

Projected

35.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6901, 4641, 9137

Auto

12.1 47%

Teleop

2.8 11%

Endgame

10.9 42%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7503, 8858, 3310

/ 100 compat

Projected

141.8 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7503, 8858, 3310

Auto

32.1 23%

Teleop

76.4 54%

Endgame

32.3 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.75 · Blue 2.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score35.8pts

Blue projected score141.8pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample126alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -106
Score range: 14–164
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 179 vs event baseline 121.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

169.2Season APEX489.7

12.1Auto32.1

2.8Teleop76.4

10.9Endgame32.3

37Consistency70

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	21
teleop	9	91
endgame	7	41
foul	0	0
total	26	153

Result

Final score

26 – 153

Prediction correct · off by 10.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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