Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

113.01 – 308.31

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

87 – 478

Prediction correct · off by 97.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 181.9 ±16.7

5212TAMSformers Robotics

Season APEX 21.4Event APEX 19.19Rank 19Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76

7534Dragonflies

Season APEX 25.6Event APEX 18.84Rank 24Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 76

2714♨️ BBQ ♨️

Season APEX 134.9Event APEX 74.98Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 512 ±9.8

6672Fusion Corps

Season APEX 120.9Event APEX 48.15Rank 12Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2728♨️ TACO ♨️

Season APEX 137.2Event APEX 93.01Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

148Robowranglers

Season APEX 253.9Event APEX 167.15Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5212, 7534, 2714

/ 100 compat

Projected

113 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5212, 7534, 2714

Auto

18.4 16%

Teleop

68.9 61%

Endgame

26.1 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6672, 2728, 148

/ 100 compat

Projected

308.3 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6672, 2728, 148

Auto

55.6 18%

Teleop

189.7 62%

Endgame

61.6 20%

Strengths

· 148 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.56 · Blue 2.4

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score113pts

Blue projected score308.3pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample126alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -195.3
Score range: 92–329
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 565 vs event baseline 117.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

181.9Season APEX512

18.4Auto55.6

68.9Teleop189.7

26.1Endgame61.6

27Consistency33

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	79
teleop	27	281
endgame	49	98
foul	0	20
total	87	478

Result

Final score

87 – 478

Prediction correct · off by 97.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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