Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

67.66 – 125.11

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

76 – 155

Prediction correct · off by 19.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 279.6 ±12.2

9137Bionic Vipers

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 17.4Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7119Sunset RoboBison

Season APEX 115.7Event APEX 17.69Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7503Radicubs

Season APEX 125.2Event APEX 32.57Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 318.1 ±11.7

8858Beast from the East

Season APEX 226.8Event APEX 90.75Rank 3Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9786MHS Wolfpack Team 9786

Season APEX 39.8Event APEX 25.95Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1164Project NEO

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 8.41Rank 13Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9137, 7119, 7503

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.7 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9137, 7119, 7503

Auto

14.7 22%

Teleop

30.6 46%

Endgame

21.4 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8858, 9786, 1164

/ 100 compat

Projected

125.1 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8858, 9786, 1164

Auto

16.9 14%

Teleop

58.6 48%

Endgame

45.7 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.04 · Blue 1.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score67.7pts

Blue projected score125.1pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample126alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -57.4
Score range: 47–146
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 231 vs event baseline 117.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

279.6Season APEX318.1

14.7Auto16.9

30.6Teleop58.6

21.4Endgame45.7

11Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	17
teleop	36	83
endgame	26	40
foul	0	15
total	76	155

Result

Final score

76 – 155

Prediction correct · off by 19.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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