Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

126.07 – 38.7

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

51 – 60

Prediction missed · off by 48.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 232 ±11.7

9137Bionic Vipers

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 30.42Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10032Singularity

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 12.59Rank 15Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2714♨️ BBQ ♨️

Season APEX 134.9Event APEX 83.06Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 177.6 ±13.3

7121Keller Fusion Robotics

Season APEX 22.1Event APEX -4.78Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9786MHS Wolfpack Team 9786

Season APEX 39.8Event APEX 27.06Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7119Sunset RoboBison

Season APEX 115.7Event APEX 16.42Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9137, 10032, 2714

/ 100 compat

Projected

126.1 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9137, 10032, 2714

Auto

8.2 6%

Teleop

84.3 66%

Endgame

34.3 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7121, 9786, 7119

/ 100 compat

Projected

38.7 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7121, 9786, 7119

Auto

16.1 51%

Teleop

10.2 32%

Endgame

5.5 17%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.87 · Blue 0.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score126.1pts

Blue projected score38.7pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample126alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 87.4
Score range: 18–147
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 111 vs event baseline 115.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

232Season APEX177.6

8.2Auto16.1

84.3Teleop10.2

34.3Endgame5.5

0Consistency6

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	13
teleop	24	26
endgame	8	6
foul	0	15
total	51	60

Result

Final score

51 – 60

Prediction missed · off by 48.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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