Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

178.94 – 53.12

83%17%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

153 – 103

Prediction correct · off by 37.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 494.9 ±9.3

3676RedShift Robotics

Season APEX 66.3Event APEX 23.42Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8858Beast from the East

Season APEX 226.8Event APEX 97.62Rank 3Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4206Robo Vikes

Season APEX 201.8Event APEX 57.9Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 257.4 ±10.4

6901Knights

Season APEX 68.7Event APEX 6.37Rank 21Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4153Project Y

Season APEX 67.8Event APEX 5.73Rank 16Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6672Fusion Corps

Season APEX 120.9Event APEX 41.02Rank 12Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3676, 8858, 4206

/ 100 compat

Projected

178.9 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 3676, 8858, 4206

Auto

23.0 13%

Teleop

92.0 53%

Endgame

59.3 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6901, 4153, 6672

/ 100 compat

Projected

53.1 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6901, 4153, 6672

Auto

16.1 30%

Teleop

21.2 40%

Endgame

15.7 30%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.17 · Blue 0.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score178.9pts

Blue projected score53.1pts

Red win probability83%

Event bonus sample126alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 125.8
Score range: 32–200
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 256 vs event baseline 115.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

494.9Season APEX257.4

23Auto16.1

92Teleop21.2

59.3Endgame15.7

26Consistency28

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	25
teleop	72	48
endgame	56	25
foul	0	5
total	153	103

Result

Final score

153 – 103

Prediction correct · off by 37.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.