Qualification · Qualification 3
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
15.83 – 140.45
17%83%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
44 – 94
Prediction correct · off by 37.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 139.9 ±12.2
Season APEX 66.3Event APEX 13.17Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 22.1Event APEX -12.44Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 15.1Rank 13Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 304.5 ±10.4
Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 33.4Rank 15Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 125.2Event APEX 35.05Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 120.9Event APEX 72Rank 12Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3676, 7121, 1164
5
/ 100 compatProjected
15.8 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 3676, 7121, 1164
Auto
13.6 80%
Teleop
-0.5 0%
Endgame
3.8 22%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 29%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10032, 7503, 6672
59
/ 100 compatProjected
140.5 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 10032, 7503, 6672
Auto
27.2 21%
Teleop
78.3 59%
Endgame
26.1 20%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 29%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.68 · Blue 2.01
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score15.8pts
Blue projected score140.5pts
Red win probability17%
Event bonus sample126alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 29%, blue 31%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -124.6
- Score range
- -10–166
- Upset likelihood
- 17%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
139.9Season APEX304.5
13.6Auto27.2
-0.5Teleop78.3
3.8Endgame26.1
38Consistency4
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 13 | 19 |
| teleop | 10 | 54 |
| endgame | 21 | 21 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 44 | 94 |
Result
Final score
44 – 94
Prediction correct · off by 37.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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