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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

15.83140.45

17%83%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

4494

Prediction correct · off by 37.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 139.9 ±12.2
Season APEX 66.3Event APEX 13.17Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 22.1Event APEX -12.44Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 15.1Rank 13Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 304.5 ±10.4
Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 33.4Rank 15Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 125.2Event APEX 35.05Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 120.9Event APEX 72Rank 12Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3676, 7121, 1164
5
/ 100 compat
Projected
15.8 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 3676, 7121, 1164
Auto
13.6 80%
Teleop
-0.5 0%
Endgame
3.8 22%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 29%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10032, 7503, 6672
59
/ 100 compat
Projected
140.5 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 10032, 7503, 6672
Auto
27.2 21%
Teleop
78.3 59%
Endgame
26.1 20%
Strengths
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 29%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.68 · Blue 2.01
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score15.8pts
Blue projected score140.5pts
Red win probability17%
Event bonus sample126alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 29%, blue 31%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-124.6
Score range
-10166
Upset likelihood
17%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 138 vs event baseline 144.8.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

139.9Season APEX304.5
13.6Auto27.2
-0.5Teleop78.3
3.8Endgame26.1
38Consistency4

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto1319
teleop1054
endgame2121
foul00
total4494

Result

Final score

4494

Prediction correct · off by 37.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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