Qualification · Qualification 27
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
116.29 – 148.77
40%60%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
180 – 257
Prediction correct · off by 86 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 376 ±9.8
Season APEX 66.3Event APEX 13.71Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 241.9Event APEX 105.4Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 67.8Event APEX -2.82Rank 16Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 381 ±9.8
Season APEX 253.9Event APEX 156.3Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 68.7Event APEX -10.12Rank 21Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 2.59Rank 15Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3676, 3005, 4153
64
/ 100 compatProjected
116.3 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 3676, 3005, 4153
Auto
26.0 24%
Teleop
57.1 53%
Endgame
25.1 23%
Strengths
- · 3005 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 148, 6901, 10032
76
/ 100 compatProjected
148.8 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 148, 6901, 10032
Auto
34.3 25%
Teleop
79.1 58%
Endgame
22.2 16%
Strengths
- · 148 anchors offense
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.22 · Blue 1.59
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score116.3pts
Blue projected score148.8pts
Red win probability40%
Event bonus sample126alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 38%, blue 35%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -32.5
- Score range
- 95–170
- Upset likelihood
- 40%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
376Season APEX381
26Auto34.3
57.1Teleop79.1
25.1Endgame22.2
0Consistency96
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 34 | 36 |
| teleop | 83 | 178 |
| endgame | 63 | 38 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 180 | 257 |
Result
Final score
180 – 257
Prediction correct · off by 86 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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